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Opinion

India and Uzbekistan Collide in Samarkand, With a World Title Still to Come

By Cameron W. · Mon, 14 Sep 2026

Defending champion India and host nation Uzbekistan arrive at the 46th Chess Olympiad seeded second and third, a genuine medal collision on its own terms.

Defending champion India and host nation Uzbekistan arrive at the 46th Chess Olympiad seeded second and third, a genuine medal collision on its own terms. But this year the stakes run deeper than gold medals: Gukesh Dommaraju and Javokhir Sindarov, the two players scheduled to fight for the World Championship in Geneva this November, will both be competing on home turf for their countries before a single game of that match is played.Board Four, Not Board OneThe framing making the rounds, that Samarkand doubles as a warm-up meeting between the two, comes with a real asterisk. India's board order runs by rating: Arjun Erigaisi leads at board one, followed by Praggnanandhaa, Nihal Sarin, and only then Gukesh at board four, with Vidit Gujrathi at five. Sindarov, meanwhile, anchors Uzbekistan's lineup at board one. Even if the two federations are paired against each other during the event, standard board order would put Sindarov across from Erigaisi, not Gukesh. Whether these two actually share a board in Samarkand depends on whether either captain deviates from that order, not on the pairing alone.Fifty unbeaten games against a year of losing groundOn paper, this is a lopsided moment to be having this conversation. Sindarov arrives unbeaten in over 50 classical games, having won both the World Cup and this year's Candidates Tournament, the latter by the most dominant performance the event has produced in the modern era. He's currently the world's fourth-ranked player. Gukesh, by contrast, has had a rough eighteen months since beating Ding Liren for the title in 2024: he fell out of the world's top 10 by late 2025, lost 43 rating points over the course of that year, finished 41st at the Grand Swiss as top seed, and exited the World Cup in the third round.Budapest suggests a different storyTwo things complicate the obvious narrative. First, Sindarov himself has been publicly dismissive of reading too much into it, saying he's preparing for Gukesh's best chess rather than his recent results, and pointing to their tense draw at this year's Tata Steel Masters in Wijk aan Zee as evidence there's no clear weakness to exploit. Second, and more specific to this event, Gukesh's Olympiad record bears almost no resemblance to his individual tournament slump. At Budapest 2024, playing board one for India, he scored 9 out of 10 with a performance rating above 3050, one of the best individual results in the event's history, anchoring India's gold medal. India's own captain, Srinath Narayanan, has said publicly that confidence sits at the center of Gukesh's game: when he's playing with belief, his calculation shows up in full, and when that confidence dips, so do his results. An Olympiad, representing his country rather than himself, is exactly the kind of setting that's brought Gukesh's belief back before.Gold to defend, a home crowd to pleaseIndia travels to Samarkand defending both the Open and Women's gold it won in Budapest, with four of five Open players returning from that winning roster, only Nihal Sarin is new, replacing Pentala Harikrishna. Uzbekistan, seeded third, has the obvious motivation of a home Olympiad and a roster built around the same young core, Sindarov, Nodirbek Abdusattorov, and Nodirbek Yakubboev, that's turned the country into one of the sport's fastest-rising forces over the past several years.Geneva is still the only result that countsNothing that happens in Samarkand changes the terms of the Geneva match in November, fourteen classical games, first to 7.5 points, decides the title regardless of what either player does here. But an Olympiad is one of the only settings left before that match where both men will be tested under real competitive pressure, in front of a global audience, without it being about them individually. If Gukesh's Olympiad pattern holds and he finds the belief that's eluded him in solo events, Sindarov arrives in Geneva facing a genuinely different opponent than the one his own form line suggests. If it doesn't, Sindarov's own stated caution, that recent results tell you nothing once a match actually starts, will have been the correct read all along.
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